Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.327026e-02 0.014962 0.016675 0.018534 0.020488 0.022476 0.024647
2025-04-20 1.034540e-02 0.012989 0.015796 0.018965 0.022415 0.026032 0.030088
2025-04-27 8.194366e-03 0.011277 0.014678 0.018633 0.023047 0.027766 0.033147
2025-05-04 6.469527e-03 0.009789 0.013591 0.018137 0.023318 0.028951 0.035461
2025-05-11 5.472002e-03 0.009013 0.013202 0.018323 0.024256 0.030788 0.038409
2025-05-18 4.484977e-03 0.008127 0.012590 0.018171 0.024741 0.032058 0.040675
2025-05-25 3.509476e-03 0.007136 0.011762 0.017690 0.024784 0.032779 0.042276
2025-06-01 2.771562e-03 0.006366 0.011141 0.017401 0.025005 0.033662 0.044025
2025-06-08 2.117527e-03 0.005620 0.010488 0.017022 0.025079 0.034343 0.045515
2025-06-15 1.698157e-03 0.005163 0.010176 0.017038 0.025600 0.035521 0.047553
2025-06-22 1.225639e-03 0.004530 0.009572 0.016646 0.025598 0.036066 0.048842
2025-06-29 7.804816e-04 0.003825 0.008807 0.016000 0.025251 0.036179 0.049609
2025-07-06 3.408319e-04 0.002958 0.007771 0.015022 0.024560 0.035977 0.050138
2025-07-13 2.073355e-04 0.002734 0.007714 0.015381 0.025575 0.037857 0.053157
2025-07-20 6.030451e-05 0.002272 0.007212 0.015084 0.025727 0.038673 0.054899
2025-07-27 2.032799e-07 0.001808 0.006632 0.014636 0.025655 0.039192 0.056272
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001608 0.006492 0.014804 0.026371 0.040667 0.058772
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001331 0.006162 0.014667 0.026671 0.041617 0.060634
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001004 0.005657 0.014234 0.026553 0.042034 0.061844
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000767 0.005284 0.013974 0.026650 0.042705 0.063348
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000548 0.004880 0.013634 0.026619 0.043202 0.064631
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000431 0.004703 0.013648 0.027066 0.044294 0.066630
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000273 0.004322 0.013296 0.026989 0.044713 0.067800